Loures U15 vs Alverca U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
9º
9º
35
4º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 2
SAC
22%
20%
59%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
LOU
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 4
FOO
19%
20%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RSC
5 - 1
LOU
88%
9%
4%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 4
SCP
3%
9%
88%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Alverca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 1
ALV
91%
7%
2%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
SAC
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BNF
2 - 0
ALV
87%
9%
3%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 0
CAL
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAD
0 - 1
ALV
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |