Lourenzá vs SD Pol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 0
LOU
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
LOU
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
OUT
21%
23%
57%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUN
3 - 0
LOU
37%
24%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAT
18%
21%
62%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SD Pol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
OUT
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GUN
1 - 0
POL
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
CAT
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 5
POL
6%
14%
80%
|
23 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POL
6 - 0
MEI
88%
9%
3%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |