Lourenzá vs Portomarín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 0
MEI
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
TAB
24%
23%
54%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AES
2 - 0
LOU
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LOU
4 - 0
GUI
48%
23%
29%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
LOU
74%
15%
10%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Portomarín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
OUT
2 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
GUN
0 - 1
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
POR
0 - 3
CAT
6%
14%
80%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
6 - 0
POR
83%
12%
5%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MEI
5 - 0
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |