Lourenzá vs Guitiriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+184%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
LOU
74%
15%
10%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 1
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 0
LOU
32%
24%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
CHA
9%
17%
74%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
XOV
1 - 2
LOU
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guitiriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 2
OUT
11%
18%
70%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 2
GUI
68%
18%
14%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 1
CAT
6%
14%
80%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
GUI
54%
21%
25%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 4
MEI
15%
19%
66%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |