Lourenzá vs SD Chantada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
74.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
XOV
1 - 2
LOU
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
FOZ
33%
24%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
POL
5 - 0
LOU
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 3
MIL
23%
22%
55%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 2
BUR
49%
23%
28%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SD Chantada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
OUT
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
GUN
1 - 1
CHA
25%
23%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAT
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
CHA
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
MEI
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |