Lourenzá vs Chantada Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 0
MEI
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
TAB
24%
23%
54%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AES
2 - 0
LOU
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LOU
4 - 0
GUI
48%
23%
29%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chantada Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 2
OUT
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GUN
1 - 3
CAT
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 2
BUR
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
POR
0 - 3
CAT
6%
14%
80%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAT
5 - 2
MEI
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |