Lourenzá vs CD Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
66.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 2
LOU
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 0
TAB
30%
24%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
4 - 0
PAS
48%
24%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
LOU
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 0
CHA
6%
15%
79%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDC
4 - 0
PAS
90%
8%
3%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PON
0 - 2
CDC
6%
13%
80%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
CDC
8%
15%
78%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
AES
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |