Preferente Navarra Grupo Ascenso Final
Global 3-1
Lourdes vs Zarramonza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ZAR
0 - 1
LOU
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
CDI
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CDI
1 - 1
LOU
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
CDL
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
LOU
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zarramonza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ZAR
0 - 1
LOU
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 0
GAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GAZ
1 - 1
ZAR
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 0
SES
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ADR
2 - 3
ZAR
58%
20%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |