Lourdes vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
COR
0 - 0
LOU
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
PEÑ
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 2
PEN
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
CDA
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 0
FON
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 1
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 2
PEÑ
14%
20%
67%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 0
COR
37%
28%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |