Lourdes vs Erriberri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 0
LOU
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 1
AVA
26%
24%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
ZAR
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ZAR
0 - 1
LOU
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
CDI
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Erriberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ERR
1 - 3
OBE
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
ERR
60%
22%
18%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ERR
2 - 0
CDI
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 2
ERR
38%
25%
38%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ERR
1 - 3
CDS
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |