Louletano vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FAT
0 - 1
LOU
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 2
1DE
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
LOU
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
QUA
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 3
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
1DE
1 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
QUA
1 - 1
SER
33%
26%
42%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |