Louletano vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FAT
0 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 0
PIN
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 0
LOU
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 0
MAF
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 1
LOU
70%
19%
12%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 5
ORI
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAT
2 - 0
MOU
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
TOU
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PIN
3 - 0
MOU
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 6
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -2 |