Louletano vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
4º
1º
7
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 17 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
74.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
25.5% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EVN
0 - 1
LOU
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 2
LOU
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FAB
1 - 1
LOU
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 1
ORI
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
LOU
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MON
5 - 2
CIN
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
USA
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VST
1 - 0
MON
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
LUS
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
MON
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |