Louletano vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
LGC
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 0
OLH
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 2
EDL
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VST
2 - 2
LOU
77%
17%
6%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
AMO
0 - 0
LOU
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
MOU
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
50%
21%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VST
1 - 0
MON
78%
17%
6%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
AMO
2 - 0
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MON
4 - 1
ALJ
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |