Louletano vs Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 2
FAM
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 0
LOU
51%
25%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 3
COV
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 3
LOU
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
PRA
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 3
RIO
7%
16%
77%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
LAG
19%
23%
58%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LAG
3 - 0
FCB
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
PED
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |