Louletano vs Ferreiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 0
PRA
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 1
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALJ
0 - 3
LOU
26%
25%
50%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 4
OPE
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
0 - 4
LOU
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALJ
1 - 1
FER
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
OPE
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
FER
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
QUA
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 2
FER
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |