Louletano vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 1
LOU
40%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
0 - 0
LOU
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
JUV
64%
21%
14%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
LOU
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 1
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
FCC
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
FCC
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
PIN
33%
24%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |