Louletano vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 1
LOU
16%
24%
61%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 3
ALE
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SER
1 - 3
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 0
MOU
84%
13%
4%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AMO
2 - 1
LOU
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FAB
2 - 2
CIN
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
FAB
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FAB
3 - 1
EVN
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
FAB
33%
28%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 1
FAB
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |