Louletano vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
1DE
2 - 0
LOU
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
0 - 1
ORI
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
LOU
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
TOR
22%
25%
52%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
LOU
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 2
FAT
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 2
EVN
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EVN
5 - 0
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAF
1 - 1
EVN
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 0
CAL
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |