Louletano vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
LOU
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PED
0 - 0
LOU
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
UDL
4 - 1
LOU
85%
12%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 2
LOU
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
VIL
2 - 1
LOU
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ACA
2 - 2
RIO
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NAV
0 - 1
ACA
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |