Louletano vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ORI
0 - 1
LOU
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 1
TOU
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
LOU
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
37%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 3
FAT
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 0
1DE
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
1DE
3 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 0
1DE
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 2
1DE
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |