Louisville City vs Toronto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 1
LOU
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 2
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
ORL
3 - 4
LOU
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
LOU
42%
23%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
LOU
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 1
TOR
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
ROC
24%
27%
50%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 2
TOR
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 3
WIL
36%
25%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |