Louisville City vs Sporting Kansas City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 0
LOU
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
IND
52%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 2
SPK
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
SPK
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
LOU
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
SPK
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
IND
0 - 1
SPK
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 2
SPK
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
SPK
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
IND
2 - 1
SPK
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |