Louisville City vs Saint Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
IND
0 - 2
LOU
34%
23%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 3
LOU
32%
29%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
LAS
0 - 1
LOU
10%
17%
72%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LOU
4 - 0
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 0
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
MIN
20%
20%
61%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 3
LOU
32%
29%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
DES
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
WIL
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |