Louisville City vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
LOU
12%
21%
67%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 0
LOU
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DET
0 - 1
LOU
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
TAM
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 1
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 0
ORS
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LVG
2 - 1
SAC
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 0
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 0
SAC
7%
18%
75%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
RGV
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |