Louisville City vs Reading United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
BLE
0 - 3
LOU
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
SPK
3 - 2
LOU
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 1
MEM
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 0
OTT
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 1
LOU
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
LEH
2 - 5
REA
5%
14%
82%
|
49 | 14 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
REA
2 - 1
JLS
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
REA
2 - 4
CFO
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
REA
1 - 0
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
REA
2 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |