Louisville City vs Orlando City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 0
LOU
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 4
LOU
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
MON
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 0
CIN
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
ORL
2 - 2
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
ORL
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
ORL
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ORL
1 - 1
CHA
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
ORL
21%
22%
58%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |