Louisville City vs Orlando City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 2
NYO
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
LOU
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
LOU
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
LOU
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Orlando City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ORL
0 - 0
CHA
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ORL
1 - 2
WIL
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ORL
1 - 0
CHA
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
RIC
2 - 0
ORL
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
ORL
3 - 2
VSI
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |