Louisville City vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
SES
2 - 2
LOU
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
6 - 0
HAA
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
LOU
17%
23%
61%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 1
GTR
57%
22%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
LOU
41%
26%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
ORA
1 - 2
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORA
2 - 0
MBF
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ORA
0 - 2
SAC
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
ORA
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEM
0 - 2
ORA
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |