Louisville City vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
LOU
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 1
TUL
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
NSC
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 2
MBF
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 13 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LAG
4 - 3
LOU
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
LVG
3 - 0
ORA
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ORA
1 - 2
NMU
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
ORS
3 - 2
ORA
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
ORA
21%
23%
57%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ORA
2 - 2
EPL
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |