Louisville City vs Memphis 901 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TUL
0 - 1
LOU
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 2
CFC
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 6
LOU
30%
26%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAA
2 - 1
LOU
11%
21%
68%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Memphis 901
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MEM
3 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
MEM
0 - 0
HAA
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
COL
3 - 1
MEM
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 1
MEM
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
2 - 0
TUL
58%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |