Louisville City vs Loudoun United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 6
LOU
30%
26%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAA
2 - 1
LOU
11%
21%
68%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 1
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 3
SAC
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NMU
0 - 1
LOU
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
ARI
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
RHO
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 2
LOU
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
3 - 1
LOU
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 1
MIA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |