Louisville City vs Loudoun United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PIT
0 - 0
LOU
25%
26%
48%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TUL
2 - 2
LOU
13%
22%
66%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 1
SAC
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
LOU
12%
21%
67%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 0
LOU
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
4 - 0
LOU
76%
17%
8%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
PIT
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
MEM
0 - 1
LOU
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TUL
2 - 1
LOU
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 1
AFC
54%
20%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |