Louisville City vs Loudoun United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
IND
52%
24%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 2
SPK
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
SPK
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
LOU
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 3
PIT
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
NYO
1 - 2
LOU
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
HAA
4 - 1
LOU
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
HAA
3 - 1
LOU
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PHU
0 - 0
LOU
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
PIT
1 - 1
LOU
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |