Louisville City vs Indy Eleven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
5 - 0
BLE
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 1
PIT
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
EPL
0 - 1
LOU
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
STC
1 - 2
LOU
27%
21%
52%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 2
LOU
77%
15%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 2
DET
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
SAC
24%
29%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 2
IND
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ORS
2 - 1
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |