Louisville City vs Indy Eleven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 3
LOU
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 4
LOU
17%
24%
60%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 0
OTT
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
PNN
0 - 3
LOU
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
PHU
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CIN
3 - 0
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
TAM
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PIT
3 - 2
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
PNN
1 - 0
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |