Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic analysis

Louisville City Hartford Athletic
58 ELO 38
-0.3% Tilt 3%
1512º General ELO ranking 5577º
29º Country ELO ranking 106º
ELO win probability
75.1%
Louisville City
16.4%
Draw
8.6%
Hartford Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
Louisville City
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.6%
Win probability
Hartford Athletic
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Louisville City
+17%
+68%
Hartford Athletic

Points and table prediction

Louisville City
Their league position
Hartford Athletic
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
10º
10º
18
17º
24º
24º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
24º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
67
67
100%
Sacramento Republic
64
64
100%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
63
63
100%
Charleston Battery
59
59
100%
San Diego Loyal
57
57
0%
Orange County SC
57
57
0%
San Antonio
56
56
100%
Colorado Springs Switchback
53
53
100%
Memphis 901
52
52
100%
Louisville City
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Indy Eleven
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Phoenix Rising
12º
48
48
12º
100%
El Paso Locomotive
13º
47
47
13º
100%
New Mexico United
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Birmingham Legion
15º
46
46
15º
100%
Rio Grande Valley
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Oakland Roots
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Miami FC
18º
41
41
18º
0%
Detroit City
19º
41
41
19º
100%
Monterey Bay
20º
41
41
20º
0%
FC Tulsa
21º
39
39
21º
100%
Loudoun United
22º
25
25
22º
100%
Las Vegas Lights
23º
19
19
23º
100%
Hartford Athletic
24º
18
18
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Louisville City
Hartford Athletic
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Louisville City
Hartford Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Louisville City
Louisville City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
NMU
New Mexico United
2 - 0
Louisville City
LOU
28%
26%
47%
59 51 8 0
24 Sep. 2023
LOU
Loudoun United
1 - 2
Louisville City
LOU
18%
22%
60%
59 41 18 0
21 Sep. 2023
MIA
Miami FC
4 - 3
Louisville City
LOU
25%
26%
48%
59 51 8 0
17 Sep. 2023
LOU
Louisville City
1 - 0
San Diego Loyal
SDL
47%
25%
28%
59 56 3 0
10 Sep. 2023
TAM
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2 - 1
Louisville City
LOU
57%
23%
20%
59 64 5 0

Matches

Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2023
HAA
Hartford Athletic
2 - 2
Rio Grande Valley
RGV
15%
21%
64%
36 54 18 0
01 Oct. 2023
MIA
Miami FC
2 - 0
Hartford Athletic
HAA
80%
14%
7%
37 54 17 -1
28 Sep. 2023
HAA
Hartford Athletic
0 - 2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
TAM
12%
21%
67%
37 64 27 0
24 Sep. 2023
DET
Detroit City
3 - 0
Hartford Athletic
HAA
59%
24%
17%
37 50 13 0
17 Sep. 2023
MEM
Memphis 901
4 - 2
Hartford Athletic
HAA
77%
15%
8%
38 56 18 -1
X