Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 1
DET
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RGV
0 - 1
LOU
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
MEM
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 2
LOU
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PIT
0 - 0
LOU
25%
26%
48%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hartford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HAA
1 - 3
ORS
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HAA
6 - 3
CHA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
HAA
26%
23%
50%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HAA
3 - 0
LVG
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HAA
3 - 2
TUL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |