Louisville City vs FC Montreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 3
LOU
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 3
LOU
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PIT
1 - 2
LOU
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 0
RIC
48%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Montreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
MON
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
MON
5 - 2
LOU
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MON
4 - 2
PIT
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |