Louisville City vs Detroit City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
RHO
0 - 0
LOU
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 12 | 52 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LVG
2 - 2
LOU
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 0
ORA
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SES
2 - 2
LOU
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
6 - 0
HAA
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Detroit City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
DET
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DET
1 - 1
ARI
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
HOD
3 - 3
DET
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
DET
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PIT
2 - 0
DET
56%
25%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |