Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 1
PIT
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
EPL
0 - 1
LOU
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
STC
1 - 2
LOU
27%
21%
52%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 2
LOU
77%
15%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
LOU
39%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HAA
1 - 0
BLE
16%
22%
63%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
BLE
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NSC
3 - 2
BLE
77%
15%
7%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BLE
1 - 2
AFC
13%
19%
68%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
BLE
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |