Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
PHU
2 - 2
LOU
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 0
LOU
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 0
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BLE
0 - 3
LOU
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
SPK
3 - 2
LOU
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
BLE
0 - 1
NSC
31%
27%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
BLE
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
BLE
4 - 1
WCU
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BLE
0 - 3
LOU
23%
24%
54%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MEM
2 - 2
BLE
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |