Louisville City vs Philadelphia Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 3
LOU
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 4
LOU
17%
24%
60%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PIT
2 - 2
PHU
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 0
TAM
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
PHU
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 0
PHU
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PHU
4 - 0
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |