Louisville City vs Philadelphia Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 1
LOU
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
RIC
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 1
LOU
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
TAM
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 0
NSC
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 1
CIN
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 1
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PHU
0 - 1
NSC
23%
28%
49%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 0
PHU
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
4 - 0
PHU
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |