Louisville City vs Atlanta United II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
LOU
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 0
LOU
20%
23%
58%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 1
PHU
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
OTT
1 - 1
LOU
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 1
NSC
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlanta United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
4 - 2
LOU
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 2
AFC
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 2
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BLE
4 - 0
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
NYO
8 - 1
AFC
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |