Louisville vs Wake Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 1
CET
30%
22%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 1
VIC
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
2 - 1
LOC
69%
17%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BCE
4 - 0
LOC
23%
21%
57%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 1
SYO
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Wake Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
WKD
1 - 2
NCA
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
WKD
2 - 1
KTW
64%
19%
18%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
WKD
3 - 2
COC
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CET
0 - 0
WKD
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
2 - 1
LOC
69%
17%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |