Louisville vs NC State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 0
NCA
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
VTH
4 - 2
LOC
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
DBD
3 - 1
LOC
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 0
BCE
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SYO
4 - 5
LOC
17%
19%
65%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NC State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
NCS
1 - 2
VIC
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
SYO
0 - 0
NCS
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NCA
4 - 0
NCS
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
NCS
1 - 1
WKD
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 0
NCS
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |