Loughgall vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
7º
78
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
LOU
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 1
LOU
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 2
GLE
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
LOU
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 1
GLE
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 3
CAR
78%
16%
7%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
CLI
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIN
20%
25%
56%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |