Loughgall vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
DER
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AUN
1 - 1
LOU
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
KNO
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 5
LOU
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
WAR
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
KNO
50%
23%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KNO
1 - 0
NEY
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
KNO
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KNO
4 - 2
HAR
27%
23%
51%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AUN
2 - 0
KNO
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |