Loughgall vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
7º
38
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
CRU
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
LOU
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
4 - 0
LOU
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
LOU
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
DUN
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 2
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
CLI
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
GLE
29%
24%
47%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |